5) Despite the presence of MVP candidate Josh Allen in this Steelers-Bills matchup, the NFL betting market has shaded the total down a full point from 49. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. 5; Over/Under 47 Time: 4:25 p. FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365 all offered an opening number of 42 on Sunday night. Closing Line: The final odds posted when the game begins is the closing line. An injury to San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy propelled the betting line from -5. There is are only two totals over 48 and the average was 46. Scoring, or lack thereof, in the NFL has been a big story thus far this season. While some of that action can be attributed to other sports and events, the success rate of NFL favorites certainly played a big role. NFL : Scores and Matchups. NFL: Super Bowl 58; NCAAF: CFP Championship; NHL: Stanley Cup Finals; NBA: Playoffs & Finals; NCAAB: Men's. Week 13 NFL Betting Line Moves Table. BAL +3. 6 after a tough showing. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. 5 points lower than the opening over. Tampa Bay has since taken more money and the game now sits as a pick’em at FOXBet. 5 within a couple of hours, then returned to -7 in fairly short order. Discover the betting markets that look profitable for attack and the players you. For Week 2, they were installed as a 10-point favorite in their home opener against the Seattle Seahawks. Both injuries and COVID-19 are impacting the early and midweek opportunities available to NFL bettors. 8:15 PM. Last year’s record vs. 5 points but the official Week 9 opener was 50. Betting Models. Andy Dalton. The only way to consistently put yourself in a position to gain positive expected value (+EV) while betting on NFL sides is to beat the closing line. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. 34 times per game. NFL Week 3 Line Movement: Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts. 2 average point differential this year. For example, if the opening line for a game is -3. NFL Line Movement: Adapt and strategize effectively using our up-to-the-minute coverage of NFL line movements, providing timely insights. Line History. 5 to +2 earlier this week, but the spread has taken a u-turn and the Patriots are now back up to -3. 38. NFL Week 9 Line Movement Analysis: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023) by Kurt Blakeway |Oct 31, 2023. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore opened -2. Their lone ACC victory came in a close game against a limping Pitt Panthers where WF. 5, with a stop at 50 along the way. Sure. Betting analysis for the 2023-2024 NBA season matchup between Toronto and Orlando. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The Thursday night contest between the Bills and the Rams has seen its fair share of adjustment. Rare is the occasion that the house. This looks to me like a huge line movement. View full Colts vs. Totals in the “wind games” and several others have continued to drop. Why the line moved. Will we see another league-alternating trade, like in 2022 when the Carolina Panthers traded Christian McCaffery to. Point Spread Line Movement. LCS & LEC first-look betting preview. Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. The table below is intended to summarize the home team spread and total movement for this week’s games to help provide context for any significant movements. Expect a -4. 8:15 PM. NFL Week 17 Biggest Line Movement. com, the our NFL betting trends show percentages (%) up to 100 for three categories. Click the follow checkbox to add the matchup to My Scores. 4 in Week 1 2022 versus 44. The Panthers. Between the injury list growing for the Panthers and the possibility of Fields playing, it explains the minor line movement in the Bears’ favor. First, congratulations to all fantasy football managers who won league championships. Each game will have its reasoning for movement (e. Live pro football spreads, moneylines, and totals. Opening line: Chiefs -2. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. For example, the Chiefs […] Since the “NFL is king” in sports betting, let’s use a mock NFL line to illustrate what line movement looks like. There are some injury concerns for the Ravens on both sides of this ball, so. In the name of balancing their accounts, sportsbooks react by adjusting. Around the NFL Staff. Week 6 brings a few more spots where early action will be helpful, along with the first set of bye weeks of. For example, if a total starts at 45 points but climbs to 47 due to heavy betting, that's line movement -- and an indication that. NFL underdogs went 8-7 ATS in Week 12. Player Propsheet. In last week's lookaheads, I was bullish on taking early action on the Eagles (moved from -4 to -6) and Chiefs (moved from -6. With so much money already bet on the Bills, if this line were to go to -3, you would have people. NFL Line Movement Tracker: Stay ahead of the curve with our real-time line movement tracker. NFL Best Bets: Trust our expert analysis and data-driven predictions to identify the cream of the crop among NFL bets, offering strategic advantages. Jan 6, 2022. 5. ET SUNDAY: With under two hours until kickoff, the 49ers are laying 7. There is a good chance we will see Justin Fields make his return on Thursday Night Football. Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >> NFL Week 8 Line Movement […]Oct 19, 2021. Between the Chiefs starting 2-0 and the. 5 in TwinSpires' NFL Week 7 odds market and is up to -3. So unless you're waiting later in the. NFL bettors can learn a lot from the betting market. 5 to 53. The Steelers-Ravens total has fallen significantly as well, from 49 to 44. ; The Lions were +2. Rodgers has been valued at 6 to 7 points in the line and that has held true, as the Patriots are now -3. NFL Player Prop Picks . 5% of the time since 2000. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3. Seahawks vs Lions odds Opening line. According to our Action Labs database , the total is 30-18 to the under for 9. Opened: LAC -1. In the name of balancing their accounts, sportsbooks react. Lions odds analysis. 5% of the time since 2000. Sunday Line Movement Update. One of the wildest NFL betting seasons in recent memory has once again seen plenty of line movement ahead of Week 17 action. NFL Week 12 Line Movement: Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles. QB Deshaun Watson returned to practice on a limited basis for the first time in a few weeks due to a throwing shoulder injury. M. Tuesday Nov 21, 2023 7:00 pm - Orlando, FL Odds: Orlando by 1. 5-point neutral-site chalk. Will we see another league-alternating trade, like in 2022 when the Carolina Panthers traded Christian. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. Note: All current odds reflect lines at 8 a. Get the most updated odds, lines, spreads, and. On Wednesday, the Chiefs nudged down to -2. Tennessee Titans 28, Houston Texans 25. So we are blessed with four NFL games before we even get to Sunday. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. This game opened. For games that have experienced especially significant or interesting movement, analysis of and reasoning for the changes are included in the sections below. Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario, measured against the closing spread. , injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. Full Line Movement. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on an. The odds are generally -110, meaning you need to bet $110 to win $100. Jerry Jeudy has been dealing with a hip injury over the past week, but he practiced in full on Friday and will play against a Vikings secondary that is allowing the second-most yards per route run over expectation to. Betting analysis for the 2023-2023 NCAA Basketball season matchup between App State and NC-Wilmgton. For the third straight week, favorites dominated the action, and bettors were big winners along with them. Line Movement Analysis for Week 11. 3 points per game), is off to a 1-5 straight-up (SU) and ATS start. 5 to -3. The three Thanksgiving Day games are not included. Sportsbooks gradually increase the limits they let. 5. We knock out NFL news the same way we would with our UFC Fight Analysis. Betting analysis for the 2023-2023 NCAA Basketball season matchup between USC and Oklahoma. NFL lines provided for each game with live updates on scores as they change. , injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. New York Giants vs. UPDATE 11 A. Live shows, videos, written articles and more. The Lions are 4-1 ATS over their last five, and will look to earn their second straight home win. For example, the Chiefs […] Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. In this case, it’s still too early to say whether Tua Tagovailoa or Jacoby Brissett will draw the start at Las Vegas . 5) at BUF. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. ET SUNDAY: Forty minutes before kickoff, the Chiefs are down to -1 in WynnBet's NFL Week 7 odds market. $1,000 First Bet on Caesars. This usually will require you not to bet until about a quarter or halfway into the season, so you get some data from the current year. Matchup Analysis; Head-to-Head; Betting Market Insights; News; Team Line ML Money Line OU REC Record ATS OU EST Score EST Line; PHX: 9-6: 6. ) and varying degrees of impact on the line. 1/19. 9 (87. New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Moneyline: New Orleans (-220) | Atlanta (+180). The recent win of the Packers over the. NFL Line Movement Analysis for Week 1. Real-Time Odds. Covers NFL betting analysis. The NFL sure came back last week with a bang as far as the betting side of things is concerned! A total of 12 betting underdogs covered the point spread in Week 1. Between the injury list growing for the Panthers and the possibility of Fields playing, it explains the minor line movement in the Bears’ favor. Prior to taking a deeper dive into the analysis of this week’s line movement, let’s look at the up-to-the-minute Week 18 NFL odds. He is the host of our flagship betting podcast, Move The Line NFL. 5-point favorites. ET window. We keep tabs on all the NFL lines all season, dissecting any significant move that may have happened. Refer to the table below for a side-by-side comparison of the opening and current Las Vegas consensus lines for all Week 9 NFL games, including those discussed above. TeamRankings; BetIQ; PoolGenius. 5. Still, several close games and ATS covers served to show bettors the widespread parity in the sport this season. The lines have shifted with injuries and player movement, but we entered this week with the following NFL Week 1 odds. Some bookmakers in Las Vegas are calling these last three weeks unprecedented. Broncos picks and predictions; The Broncos hopped into their. 5, then on. The Over is getting 56% of tickets/62% of money. As always, a table containing both the. Money Line: Pittsburgh Steelers (+115) ; Cleveland Browns (-135) Total: 32. The rampage of NFL betting underdogs wasn’t quite as significant this past weekend as it has been for the full season. Thursday . Find the latest NBA lines and data for betting on every basketball game on the schedule. You can find more of him @RyNoonan on Twitter. 2022 NFL Week 1 Games Line Movement. - Line opened up at BAL -3- Line is now ATL -1. Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets. The 2022 NFL trade deadline has passed. Action Network is the most trusted source for sports betting insights & analytics, improving your betting experience through data, tools, news & live odds across NFL, MLB and more. NFL Odds: NFL Key Line Moves for Week 3 The goal of this article is to look at the key line moves for the week. Betting analysis for the 2023 College Football season matchup between Pittsburgh and Duke. View the NFL Daily Lines on ESPN. ) and varying degrees of impact on the line. Love looked great for Green Bay in his second career start, averaging 16. Changes to the odds, point spread, or total for a game indicate that one side has taken a significant amount of money. That gives you an. Our real-time odds software is 100% web-based so you don’t have to download or install anything on your computer. g. The guy caught a ton of touchdowns last year, and many of them were the first touchdown of Packers. Game. Example: BAL @ ATL. A week ago, Kansas City opened at -3 (-105) and quickly adjusted to -3 flat. Thursday, September 7Week 8 Line Move Plays (10/26 through 10/30) The Dallas Cowboys opened as -6 home favorites against the Los Angeles Rams and moved to -6. NFL. 5 (Thursday) This game features one of the most notable line discrepancies of rivalry week, with Circa and FD presenting a 4-point arbitrage opportunity between their initial drops. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. By Saturday, that line was down to 6. NFL Week 7 Line Movement Analysis (2023) 13 hours ago. With the Cowboys crushing the Giants in. First, though, check. Last game prediction: Chiefs 26, Eagles 20 (Actual: Chiefs 38-35) ️. EDT on Thursday,. Thanks to various COVID-19 positives, exactly how many games are played, and which key players will officially be deemed unavailable for this week’s matchups remains to be seen. With so much money already bet on the Bills, if this line were to go to -3, you would have people. Overall, underdogs continue to. Early Monday morning, this line flipped to Minnesota being a one-point favorite but quickly returned to the Chargers laying the. ET Sunday (FOX) UPDATE 3:45 P. Read our Cowboys vs. That figure set a new record for a single week of football in the Super Bowl Era. M. Underdogs are thriving so far in 2022, barking to the tune of a 45-30-3 ATS mark entering this week (59. This total has ticked up 2. The Lions are coming off an embarrassing road loss to the Ravens, 38-6. After the rash of injuries that we saw in Week 2, several of the Week 3 lines have proven volatile. Ryan Noonan takes a look ahead at the. Basically, I'm parlaying my handicap. Each game will have its reasoning for movement (e. "Not much action on this game so far, but I expect. 5 despite them being one of the most bet on sides of the week. General Info. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. 1 of 1: RALEIGH, NORTH CAROLINA - SEPTEMBER 9: Sam Hartman #10 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish drops back to pass against the NC State Wolfpack at Carter-Finley Stadium on September 9, 2023 in. 5. RECORD: 4 - 7 (3 - 3 Road) ATS: 5 - 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 Road). You may also want to throttle those ratings in divisional matchups, since those rivals know each other well and often play tighter games (divisional underdogs covering 52. View full Colts vs. Sep 26, 2023. PT on Sunday. m. Track every deal made from the. Basically, I'm parlaying my handicap. 10 (CBS) UPDATE FRIDAY, JULY 28: Interestingly, there's been zero spread or total movement for a matchup featuring Jalen Hurts and his defending NFC champion Eagles. Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >> NFL Week 5 Line MovementIt's all here in our Week 8 NFL line movement analysis. Our NFL public betting data reveals 70% of tickets and 89% of money are on the Eagles – and that was over the course of 11,000+ wagers registered in our trackers. Sports. Wednesday Nov 22, 2023 8:00 pm - Houston, TX Odds: Houston by 5. Add in the fact that 12 of 16 games figure to play at least some role in the outcome of postseason positioning, and it’s a formula for manufacturing line movement. The Dallas Cowboys may have already secured the top spot in the NFC East, but they are trending in the wrong direction ahead of the playoffs. Those are the betting odds for each matchup, which shows the favorite and ‘over/under. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. NFL Week 14 odds, lines, and spreads. In addition to the impact of injuries and virus protocols, respective playoff scenarios also tend to impact the market. Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 78. With four games already moving at least 1. NFL : Scores and Matchups. We get three games this Thursday (thanks to Thanksgiving), and we have a Black Friday NFL game for the first time ever. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. Turning our attention to the Week 4 NFL schedule and betting board, the action begins with an NFC North battle on "Thursday Night Football" between the Lions (-1. Dallas Cowboys vs. The line scurried quickly in the other direction. 5 . There hasn't even been a juice adjustment to this point. TeamRankings; BetIQ; Pool Picks; Free 1-Year Subscription Offer. Of course, the Detroit Lions were one of the underdogs to pull off an upset. There's a line this week that was pretty interesting to me and wanted more insight on it. 5. Vikings-Packers is down to 48, Titans-Bengals is down to 50, Raiders-Browns is down to 47. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. Our Prop Betting tool spots opportunities to beat the sportsbooks on player prop inefficiencies. m. Warren has spent decades researching and analyzing the NFL. CIN. NFL Line Movement Analysis By Jim Beviglia Published: Oct 22, 2018, Updated: Aug 14, 2023 Bettors will hear the advice “bet against the public” again and. This information can be used to make more informed bets. See real-time player props. DraftKings Sportsbook opened the line with Detroit as 4. Refer to the table below for a side-by-side comparison of the opening and current Las Vegas consensus lines for all Week 11 NFL games, including those discussed above. NFL Week 1 Early Lines vs. 5; Over/Under 44. m. While some bankrolls are probably looking better than others at this point, it has certainly been a fun season. Colts vs Ravens odds Opening line. 34 moves per game. 5, Total Points: 46 Matchup Menu: SF @ DET. Super Bowl Winner: +3000 to +3500 Conference Winner: +1500 to +1600 Division Winner: +130 to +150It's all here in our Week 4 NFL line movement analysis. In total, coach Mike McCarthy's unit had 431 yards of total offense as they did as they. 5 points, let’s look at the rest of the notable Week 5 line movement. Each game will have its reasoning for movement (e. Opening line. Line Movement Analysis: Should Seahawks Fans Be Nervous? Posted: November 5, 2023 | Last updated: November 5, 2023. NFL Picks: NFL Lines Movement for Week 1 This article is part of our NFL Picks NFL Odds: NFL Key Line Moves for Week 1 The goal of this article is to look at the. This total had a look-ahead line as high as 54. Here are all of the current lines, ATS, money lines and totals for every NFL Week 6 game. 4:30 PM. With so much unpredictability and chaos, one could argue that we’ve seen NFL line movement like never before. Point Spread Line Movement. CHI +3-3. NFL Odds are updated as soon as they change, with alerts for odds that move in the past 2 minutes, 5 minutes or 10 minutes. Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement. The lines are static and therefore may not be indicative of the line value at the current time. Team Moneyline Spread. EDT on Friday, November 26th. 5 | 48. You can also use the tabs below to find. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. 5 and 5 for quite some time. and that might calm any concerns that Seattle’s chances are greatly lessened with backup Drew Lock at QB against a. Betting analysis for the 2022 NFL Football season matchup between Buffalo and NY Jets. After nine weeks of NFL action, sports bettors continue to witness underdogs holding a slight edge in the wagering outcome, with a mark of 76-56-1 (57. 5. There hasn't even been a juice adjustment to this point. 2023 NFL Week 6 games: Betting odds, lines, spreads, more. $1,000 First Bet on Caesars. In Week 4, the Washington Football Team will head on the road to take on Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons. Co-Founder of Line Movement Joe spent two years as a minor pro hockey player in the New York Rangers and Anaheim Ducks affiliates in the ECHL (2014-15 and 2015-16). 2 $500 2nd Chance Bet *New users, at least $20 and get a 2nd chance bet up to $500 if you don’t win on your first bet 5. g. It could also be live line movement that occurs during the game, but for this article, we will just be discussing the changes in betting lines prior to the game beginning. m. Detroit Lions @ Kansas City Chiefs. Line movement refers to a shift in odds or the point spread of a particular game before it is played. • Broncos and Colts both beset by RB injuries, but potential absence of Jonathan Taylor would be more impactful, adding the hook early in the week to Denver -3. The look-ahead line in this game was Jets -3 and had moved to -4. The Bills are coming off a loss to the Jaguars in London, while the Giants have looked like one of the worst teams in football. Let’s look at which games did earn one of those spots. Last week we used a combination of cost-per-point and intra-game disparity to peg the Giants’ line for a collapse and nailed it. He is the host of our flagship betting podcast, Move The Line NFL. Betting. m. Monitor odds shifts and gain insights into where the sharp money is heading. Miami is now -14 (-115), while taking 70% of spread tickets. Note: All current odds reflect lines at 8 a. Steelers at Bills (49. 5-point neutral-site chalk. The significant betting odds movement is based on the amount of money wagered on a specific team, prop, or point total. One could argue that a 3. 5, with a stop at 50 along the way. The game opened at pick'em back in the summer, and has moved to Eagles -6. Bengals at Chiefs odds Opening line. WR Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos: Over 41. Since posting the line late Sunday night, this. For example, the Chiefs […] Total: 45– Over (-110) | Under 45 (-110) Game Info: Nov. Similar to analysis shared with NFL teams. Bye: Arizona, Washington. FanDuel in particular was a big mover,. Packers vs. 5 and then -4 as the Niners host the Cincinnati Bengals in the spotlight game of the week. As always, we keep tabs on all the NFL lines, dissecting any significant move that may have happened early in the week. 0-point home favorites. Bet on your favorite sports with confidence. Since 1999, we’ve been doing nothing but gathering live odds and betting trends data. Key matchup: Jordan Love vs. Spread 49ers -10. NBA: Scores & Matchups. Miss State benefited from the return of starting QB Will Rogers last week. Here are all of the betting odds, lines and spreads for the college football matchups featuring top-25 teams in Week 13. Find the latest NFL lines and data for betting on every football game on the schedule. In-Depth Analysis, Unrivaled Access. 5 on the way to the current -1. As you'll see in the current odds section, some games have already seen line movement. Still, opening odds give bettors a clue as to how sportsbooks view teams going into the season. Betting Nuggets. 5-point line move based on one impressive performance is a slight overreaction. During the NFL season, this page is updated in real-time with a wealth of betting data, ranging from expert NFL predictions, full game previews, statistical analysis and betting lines movement. Customized picks for NFL and college football pick’em contests (weekly and season long). Back-to-back defending national champion and new College. As Week 8 approaches, we keep tabs on all the NFL Lines, dissecting any significant move that may have happened early in the week. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Click the follow checkbox to add the matchup to My Scores. ET WEDNESDAY: The Eagles are up a notch in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 5 market, moving from -4 to -4. Game Info: Nov. 13 Ole Miss (9-2 5-2 SEC) at Mississippi State (5-6 1-6 SEC) = Ole Miss -11. Sportsbooks try to balance the number of wagers taken on either side of a line, so NFL line movement happens when the public starts leaning heavily toward one team or result. Pick Made: 7:59 am UTC. , injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. Up to $1,200 in Bonuses. Atlanta is 3-0 at home this season and. 0 after the game originally opened Bills -7. American odds: American odds are the most common odds used in. 12:30 PM. Generally, there are logical reasons for these significant odds movements (several are outlined below). Top Week 13 NFL predictions. For games that have experienced especially significant or interesting movement, analysis of and reasoning for the changes are included in the sections below. Up to $1,200 in Bonuses. September 18, 2023 This article is part of our NFL Picks series. We’ve made it to Week 15 of the NFL season. The line movement would suggest we are in for a good one. There's a line this week that was pretty interesting to me and wanted more insight on it. Props Preview Trends Consensus Line Movement. 5 to 48. Given that unders went 10-4 in Sunday games last week and are now 28-20 on the season overall, the common theme of downward moves shouldn’t come as a huge surprise. Any line movement to this point has gone toward the Over, as the totals at BetMGM and Caesars have ticked up a half-point since their opening. NFL Week 3 Odds and Betting Trends. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information.